Let's Count Some Chickens

Nobody knows what will happen in the special Senate election in Massachusetts Tuesday. Will the enthusiasm of Scott Brown supporters get him Ted Kennedy's seat? Will the Massachusetts Democratic machine put Coakley over the finish line by fair means or foul?

Nobody knows. So let's count our chickens and imagine the effect a Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) would have.

1. It would make it really difficult to pass ObamaCare. Dems are coming up with all kinds of ways to shove it through, from delaying the certification of Brown's election to passing the Senate bill in the House and avoiding another vote in the Senate. But the answer to all such shenanigans is: Make My Day.
2. It would stiffen the backs of the other Republican senators in New England. There are the gentle ladies from Maine, Sen. Olympia Snowe and Sen. Susan Collins. They might be less inclined to buy into Democrat adminsitrative bureaucratic expansions if they had a Scott Brown next door. There is Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH). Right now he is sponsoring the dreadful Obama deficit reduction commission. After we Dems have trashed the budget let's set up a figleaf commission to force us to make tough choices. With a Scott Brown next door, Gregg might think twice about pulling Democratic chestnuts out of the fire.

You can see the benefit of a Scott Brown. It would be substantial. But first we need to get him elected. I predict Scott Brown by six points.